EU discussion sidelined because of the Ice-save dispute – a country preparing itself for an intensive EU debate

In February, the European Commission recommended that negotiations for accession to the EU should be opened with Iceland – only seven months after Iceland submitted its application. The Icelandic government welcomed the opinion’s conclusion that Iceland is well prepared to assume the obligations of membership in most areas, in particular the policy fields conversed by the European Economic Area (EEA).11Website of the Icelandic Ministry for Foreign Affairs, available at: http://www.utanrikisraduneyti.is/frettir/nr/5718 (last access: 12 July 2010). The ruling Social Democratic Alliance (SDA) also appreciated the opinion recommendations that Iceland needs to make serious efforts to align its legislation with the acquis and/or to implement and enforce it effectively in order to fulfil the accession criteria in the following fields: fisheries; agriculture and rural development; the environment; free movement of capital; financial services; the customs union; taxation; statistics; food safety, veterinary and phytosanitary policy; regional policy and coordination of structural instruments; and financial control.22European Commission: Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council. Commission Opinion on Iceland’s application for membership of the European Union, COM (2010) 62, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/enlargement/pdf/key_documents/2010/is_opinion_en.pdf (last access: 16 June 2010). On the other hand, this advice was not well received by the Left Green Movement, the SDP’s coalition partner in government, as well as the opposition parties and the fisheries’ and farmers’ lobby. All of them claimed that through EU membership Iceland would lose control of its most valuable resource, fisheries, and leave Iceland’s agriculture in ruins.33Web medium Eyjan, 11 July 2009, available at: http://eyjan.is/2009/07/11/raett-um-adildarumsokn-islands-ad-esb-a-althingi-i-allan-dag-meirihluti-thingheims-stydjur-umsoknina/ (last access: 12 July 2010).

The government is split on the EU membership question, which has damaged the SDA’s effort within the EU to press for a speedy opening of accession negotiations. Some ministers and Members of Parliament (MPs) of the Left Green Movement still question the EU application and are publicly fighting against membership – one of their MPs was recently appointed chairman of the anti-EU movement Heimssýn. That said, the government stands by the application and the upcoming negotiations for accession. All its ministers, except for the one responsible for agriculture and fisheries, are cooperating in an effort to smoothen the accession process.44Morgunblaðið, 9 April 2010, available at: http://mbl.is/mm/frettir/innlent/2010/04/09/furdar_sig_a_fundargerd/ (last access: 12 July 2010); Web medium Smugan, 28 July 2009, available at: http://www.smugan.is/pistlar/adsendar-greinar/nr/2224 (last access: 12 July 2010).

The opposition parties are also split on the question of EU membership, though anti-EU forces dominate them, at present. The leadership of the conservative Independence Party and the agrarian Progressive Party fight against membership, though the formal policy of the Progressives is to negotiate with the EU and make a decision on membership based on an accession treaty – both parties have a considerable number of Europeanists members, including Members of Parliament.55Web medium Pressan, 25 June 2010, available at: http://www.pressan.is/pressupennar/LesaOlafArnarson/sjaelfstaedisflokkurinn-er-klofinn-getur-bjarni-sameinad-a-ny (last access: 12 July 2010); the official website of the Progressive Party, available at: http://www.framsokn.is/Forsida/Malefni (last access: 12 July 2010).

The political discussion in Iceland has been dominated by the so-called Icesave66The dispute is centred on the payment conditions of Iceland on the money Britain and the Netherlands provided account holders in the Icelandic bank, Landsbanki, which offered online savings accounts under the Ice-save brand in those states. Landsbankinn was placed into receivership by the Icelandic government early in October 2008. dispute between Iceland on the one hand and the Netherlands and the United Kingdom on the other. Hence, an intensive EU debate has not kicked off in the country. In January 2010, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and the Nordic states yet again blocked Iceland’s International Monetary Fund (IMF) assistance after the President of Iceland referred the Ice-save deal, which the government had negotiated with Britain and the Netherlands and the Icelandic parliament (the Alþingi) had narrowly approved, to referendum. The deal was rejected by 93 percent of voters.77Results of the referendum from the National Electoral Commission of Iceland, available at: http://www.landskjor.is/landkjorstjorn/frettir-tilkynningar/nr/61 (last access: 16 June 2010). Hence, the dispute has dragged on – though the IMF assistance was approved by its governing board in April 2010 – and has raised nationalistic feelings and sidelined discussions on the EU application. In the public debate, the EU and its member states have been blamed for the IMF blockage and for standing in the way of Iceland’s economic recovery – despite the fact that the EU has on several occasions stated that the dispute is a bilateral matter of the states concerned.88Letter from IMF Managing Director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn on the Icesave dispute, available at: http://www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2009/111209.htm (last access: 12 July 2010); EU Observer, available at: http://euobserver.com/9/29548 (last access: 12 July 2010). Iceland has adopted the EU regulations on finances through its membership in the EEA, on which the British and Dutch claims are based, and has requested that the EU step in to settle the dispute without any success. Hence, the EU is seen as not being able to provide Iceland with economic and political shelter and, by many politicians and voters, as a bully standing by as larger states oppress a small, defenceless neighbour. Accordingly, the pro-European forces have had a difficult time making their case in an atmosphere of nationalism, where Icelanders generally feel that all of their closest neighbouring states, except for the Faroe Islands, have deserted them in a time of great need. One could argue that Icelanders have lost, in general, faith in international relations and in close cooperation with their neighbouring states.

The public opinion on EU membership has clearly been affected by the Icesave dispute. Since early 2009, the majority of voters have stated their opposition to membership in opinion polls – after a twelve-year period where nearly all polls indicated a majority in favour of membership.99Baldur Thorhallsson: The Sceptical Political Elite versus the Pro-European Public: The Case of Iceland, in Scandinavian Studies, 2002, 74 (3), p. 349-378; Opinion polls conducted by Capacent Gallup for The Federation of Icelandic Industries, available at: http://www.si.is/malaflokkar/althjodlegt-samstarf/evropumal/skodanakannanir/ (last access: 16 June 2010). The latest Capacent Iceland opinion poll, conducted in July 2010, indicated that 60 percent of voters were against EU membership, 26 percent were for it and 15 percent did not state an opinion.1010Capacent Iceland. Þjóðarpúls Gallup, July 2010. These are exactly the same findings as in February 2010. That said, in February, Capacent also asked voters whether they were in favour of accession negotiation with the EU. 64 percent of voters were in favour of accession negotiations, 28 percent against it and 7 percent did not state an opinion. Accordingly, a majority of voters are still in favour of accession negotiations with the EU.1111The Federation of Icelandic Industries, opinion polls: development of attitudes, conducted in March 2010 by Capacent Gallup Iceland, available at: http://www.si.is/media/althjodlegt-samstarf/almenningur_2010-02.pdf (last access: 12 July 2010).

The Icelandic anti-EU movement has gained momentum, set up camps in rural and coastal areas and dominated the debate in the media and on the Internet. The campaign is strongly supported by the fisheries’ and farmers’ associations, which have taken a rigid stand against EU membership and been vocal in the media. The anti-EU campaign is at present centred on three themes concerning EU membership. First, Iceland would lose its independence and sovereignty; second, Iceland would lose control over its most valuable national resource, fisheries; and third, Iceland’s agriculture would be left devastated.1212Website of the anti-EU movement, Heimssýn, available at: http://heimssyn.is/ (last access: 16 June 2010).

The pro-European movement has reorganised itself and set up an association named Stronger Iceland – A Nation among Nations (Sterkara Ísland – þjóð meðal þjóða). It draws on prominent figures, mainly from the greater Reykjavik (capital) area, the main employers’ and employees’ associations, and political parties – mostly Conservatives, Social Democrats and Progressives.1313Website of the pro-EU movement, Sterkara Ísland, available at: http://www.sterkaraisland.is/ (last access: 16 June 2010). It is also noteworthy that a pro-European group, Independent Europeanists (Sjálfstæðir Evrópusinnar), has been created within the Independence Party, which draws on support from its vice-chairman and other party members. The Icelandic European Movement, established in 1995, is still in place and has provided backup for the creation of Stronger Iceland.1414Website of the Icelandic European Movement, available at: http://www.evropa.is/ (last access: 16 June 2010).

The pro- and anti-EU movements have two noticeable features in common, i.e., they are run by men – women being noticeably absent – and are sponsored by economic sectors, which have been prominent in the EU debate in the past. The “Yes”-movement has been occupied by its reorganisation and not been active in the public debate, which was a deliberate decision, due to the dominance of the Icesave issue and the current strong nationalistic sentiment in the country. On the other hand, the “No”-movement has been working full force on its agenda.1515For example see: http://heimssyn.is (last access: 12 July 2010), http://evropuvaktin.is (last access: 12 July 2010).

The Confederation of Icelandic Employers, a driving force for EU membership in other Nordic states, is not active in the EU debate – following a brief period of activity concerning an EU application and adoption of the Euro in 2007 and 2008. This is because of an outright split within it, where the powerful Federation of Icelandic Fishing Vessel Owners, the only major opponent of EU membership in the Confederation, is granted a blocking power on the EU question. The pro-European members such as the Federation of Icelandic Industries and the Federation of Trade and Services have remained relatively silent on the issue after a campaign for the EU application. They are bound to come back into the debate with full force closer to the referendum on membership. The labour movement has also been rather silent about EU affairs, though it is now, largely, united behind the pro-European cause after the anti-EU chairman and MPs of the Left Green Movement of the Federation of State and Municipal Employees stepped down.1616For example see: http://www.asi.is/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-63/102_read-614/ (last access: 12 July 2010), http://www.bsrb.is/malefni/island-og-esb/ (last access: 12 July 2010).

A noticeable feature of the Icelandic EU negotiation committee, including several individual negotiation teams, which are preparing the Icelandic negotiations’ positions, is the presence of members of interest groups such as farmers’ and fisheries’ associations, labour movements and the opposition parties, and women and academics from different universities spread across the country. The appointment of the committee was well received in the country at large, it being lead by the expertise of the central administration.1717List of members of the Icelandic Negotiation Committee, website of the Ministry for Foreign Affairs, available at: http://europe.mfa.is/sidemenu/negotiation-committee/ (last access: 5 July 2010).

There is considerable coverage on EU affairs in the two daily newspapers, despite the dominance of the Icesave issue. The most widely read paper, Fréttablaðið, is pro-European, its editor being a former chairman of the European Movement. The other newspaper, the conservative Morgunblaðið, is running a fierce campaign against EU membership under the editorial leadership of Davíð Oddsson (the former Prime Minister for 13 years, chairman of the Independence Party and director of the Central Bank), the most influential political figure in the country over the past twenty years.1818For example: Langt til seilst, 21 June, Leiðari Morgunblaðsins, 8 July 2010; Réttarfar í hnotskurn, 29 June 2010, Báðir geti unað við sjávarútveggssamning, Fréttablaðið, 8 July 2010, available at: http://www.visir.is/article/2010515725231 (last access: 12 July 2010); Gjaldeyrishöftin: CCP óskar eftir stöðugleika, available at: http://www.visir.is/article/2010814416482 (last access 12 July 2010).

    Footnotes

  • 1Website of the Icelandic Ministry for Foreign Affairs, available at: http://www.utanrikisraduneyti.is/frettir/nr/5718 (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 2European Commission: Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council. Commission Opinion on Iceland’s application for membership of the European Union, COM (2010) 62, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/enlargement/pdf/key_documents/2010/is_opinion_en.pdf (last access: 16 June 2010).
  • 3Web medium Eyjan, 11 July 2009, available at: http://eyjan.is/2009/07/11/raett-um-adildarumsokn-islands-ad-esb-a-althingi-i-allan-dag-meirihluti-thingheims-stydjur-umsoknina/ (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 4Morgunblaðið, 9 April 2010, available at: http://mbl.is/mm/frettir/innlent/2010/04/09/furdar_sig_a_fundargerd/ (last access: 12 July 2010); Web medium Smugan, 28 July 2009, available at: http://www.smugan.is/pistlar/adsendar-greinar/nr/2224 (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 5Web medium Pressan, 25 June 2010, available at: http://www.pressan.is/pressupennar/LesaOlafArnarson/sjaelfstaedisflokkurinn-er-klofinn-getur-bjarni-sameinad-a-ny (last access: 12 July 2010); the official website of the Progressive Party, available at: http://www.framsokn.is/Forsida/Malefni (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 6The dispute is centred on the payment conditions of Iceland on the money Britain and the Netherlands provided account holders in the Icelandic bank, Landsbanki, which offered online savings accounts under the Ice-save brand in those states. Landsbankinn was placed into receivership by the Icelandic government early in October 2008.
  • 7Results of the referendum from the National Electoral Commission of Iceland, available at: http://www.landskjor.is/landkjorstjorn/frettir-tilkynningar/nr/61 (last access: 16 June 2010).
  • 8Letter from IMF Managing Director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn on the Icesave dispute, available at: http://www.imf.org/external/np/vc/2009/111209.htm (last access: 12 July 2010); EU Observer, available at: http://euobserver.com/9/29548 (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 9Baldur Thorhallsson: The Sceptical Political Elite versus the Pro-European Public: The Case of Iceland, in Scandinavian Studies, 2002, 74 (3), p. 349-378; Opinion polls conducted by Capacent Gallup for The Federation of Icelandic Industries, available at: http://www.si.is/malaflokkar/althjodlegt-samstarf/evropumal/skodanakannanir/ (last access: 16 June 2010).
  • 10Capacent Iceland. Þjóðarpúls Gallup, July 2010.
  • 11The Federation of Icelandic Industries, opinion polls: development of attitudes, conducted in March 2010 by Capacent Gallup Iceland, available at: http://www.si.is/media/althjodlegt-samstarf/almenningur_2010-02.pdf (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 12Website of the anti-EU movement, Heimssýn, available at: http://heimssyn.is/ (last access: 16 June 2010).
  • 13Website of the pro-EU movement, Sterkara Ísland, available at: http://www.sterkaraisland.is/ (last access: 16 June 2010).
  • 14Website of the Icelandic European Movement, available at: http://www.evropa.is/ (last access: 16 June 2010).
  • 15For example see: http://heimssyn.is (last access: 12 July 2010), http://evropuvaktin.is (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 16For example see: http://www.asi.is/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-63/102_read-614/ (last access: 12 July 2010), http://www.bsrb.is/malefni/island-og-esb/ (last access: 12 July 2010).
  • 17List of members of the Icelandic Negotiation Committee, website of the Ministry for Foreign Affairs, available at: http://europe.mfa.is/sidemenu/negotiation-committee/ (last access: 5 July 2010).
  • 18For example: Langt til seilst, 21 June, Leiðari Morgunblaðsins, 8 July 2010; Réttarfar í hnotskurn, 29 June 2010, Báðir geti unað við sjávarútveggssamning, Fréttablaðið, 8 July 2010, available at: http://www.visir.is/article/2010515725231 (last access: 12 July 2010); Gjaldeyrishöftin: CCP óskar eftir stöðugleika, available at: http://www.visir.is/article/2010814416482 (last access 12 July 2010).

The reports focus on a reporting period from December 2009 until May 2010. This survey was conducted on the basis of a questionnaire that has been elaborated in March and April 2010. Most of the 31 reports were delivered in May 2010.

The EU-27 Watch No. 9 receives significant funding from the Otto Wolff-Foundation, Cologne, in the framework of the ‘Dialog Europa der Otto Wolff-Stiftung’, and financial support from the European Commission. The European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein.